Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.034219 0.040109 0.046608 0.054298 0.063132 0.072950 0.084671
2025-04-20 0.026310 0.034192 0.043716 0.056012 0.071401 0.089955 0.113941
2025-04-27 0.020899 0.029762 0.041357 0.057501 0.079233 0.107289 0.146033
2025-05-04 0.016028 0.024837 0.037234 0.055712 0.082258 0.118658 0.171897
2025-05-11 0.012833 0.021475 0.034465 0.055044 0.086351 0.131598 0.201146
2025-05-18 0.010210 0.018370 0.031416 0.053282 0.088341 0.141486 0.226904
2025-05-25 0.008316 0.016014 0.029044 0.052046 0.090735 0.151958 0.254378
2025-06-01 0.007081 0.014513 0.027769 0.052294 0.095355 0.166159 0.288871
2025-06-08 0.005858 0.012773 0.025756 0.050903 0.096926 0.175436 0.316174
2025-06-15 0.005360 0.012325 0.025992 0.053515 0.105682 0.197458 0.366668
2025-06-22 0.004645 0.011286 0.024920 0.053489 0.109597 0.211420 0.404519
2025-06-29 0.003907 0.010040 0.023223 0.051970 0.110461 0.219927 0.433370
2025-07-06 0.003313 0.009011 0.021833 0.050929 0.112243 0.230518 0.467502
2025-07-13 0.003079 0.008791 0.022159 0.053535 0.121633 0.256365 0.532514
2025-07-20 0.002822 0.008461 0.022185 0.055488 0.129898 0.280822 0.597077
2025-07-27 0.002395 0.007585 0.020782 0.054019 0.130708 0.290568 0.633773
2025-08-03 0.002083 0.006952 0.019854 0.053502 0.133503 0.304550 0.680094
2025-08-10 0.001765 0.006219 0.018541 0.051851 0.133517 0.312691 0.715121
2025-08-17 0.001515 0.005629 0.017490 0.050679 0.134466 0.322853 0.755163
2025-08-24 0.001353 0.005278 0.017027 0.050938 0.138824 0.340799 0.813223
2025-08-31 0.001160 0.004768 0.016016 0.049589 0.139074 0.349573 0.852017
2025-09-07 0.001108 0.004739 0.016413 0.052143 0.149404 0.382200 0.946299
2025-09-14 0.000988 0.004433 0.015918 0.052121 0.153114 0.399775 1.007997